Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.174370 11.363532 12.670173 14.218382 16.010375 18.028406 20.485718
2025-11-23 8.319450 9.821995 11.593159 13.855304 16.696912 20.187424 24.860899
2025-11-30 7.334269 8.986627 11.029409 13.778221 17.438927 22.232070 29.129435
2025-12-07 6.437528 8.108721 10.249937 13.248369 17.427442 23.184612 31.971710
2025-12-14 5.687175 7.322508 9.478548 12.597021 17.109584 23.597013 34.011271
2025-12-21 5.201755 6.833049 9.040998 12.332104 17.265939 24.654624 37.114690
2025-12-28 5.241559 7.054962 9.589495 13.510891 19.656983 29.354689 46.797025
2026-01-04 5.017118 6.879242 9.546753 13.795139 20.691306 32.038172 53.554515
2026-01-11 4.652877 6.470353 9.123340 13.444050 20.652168 32.912203 57.171977
2026-01-18 4.504192 6.366101 9.143762 13.787146 21.788025 35.947568 65.459529
2026-01-25 4.231989 6.055142 8.820267 13.535946 21.867043 37.076796 70.118152
2026-02-01 4.007955 5.802616 8.568275 13.377432 22.084786 38.480221 75.617299
2026-02-08 3.797724 5.566442 8.338114 13.257810 22.401746 40.203413 82.419215
2026-02-15 3.565503 5.281742 8.010289 12.940748 22.317708 41.121578 87.598699
2026-02-22 3.401662 5.095887 7.831078 12.868945 22.690822 43.033932 95.679578
2026-03-01 3.176694 4.797230 7.442424 12.382287 22.188607 42.988183 98.693888
2026-03-08 2.950165 4.484309 7.011058 11.783391 21.399134 42.201108 99.542583
2026-03-15 2.801491 4.293366 6.778416 11.539629 21.316383 43.009430 105.089881
2026-03-22 2.877688 4.483966 7.221778 12.623487 24.159576 51.157121 134.897532
2026-03-29 2.819529 4.440526 7.244779 12.884542 25.245329 55.225902 153.519895
2026-04-05 2.680473 4.249275 6.988149 12.562084 24.977669 55.777408 160.410072
2026-04-12 2.639461 4.227896 7.041587 12.877203 26.218326 60.550006 184.250648
2026-04-19 2.527574 4.074974 6.840990 12.646503 26.139740 61.689166 194.796728